Resolving short-term meteorological variability amplifies projected glacier loss and sea-level rise
Lander Van Tricht, Matthias Huss, Harry Zekollari, Rodrigo Aguayo, Janosch Beer, Marit van Tiel, Alexandra von der Esch, Daniel Farinotti · 2026
Read Resolving short-term meteorological variability amplifies projected glacier loss and sea-level rise by Lander Van Tricht, Matthias Huss, Harry Zekollari, Rodrigo Aguayo, Janosch Beer, Marit van Tiel, Alexandra von der Esch, Daniel Farinotti (2026) in the Tower of Babel, a free online library of public-domain works preserved in clean, searchable text. No sign-up. The full text is served as a plain-text file at a predictable URL, where text is present: https://antarctic-labs.com/tower-of-babel/pmc-13680477.txt.
Description
Lander Van Tricht and seven colleagues show that glacier forecasts change when models feel daily weather, not just monthly averages. Global glacier models usually smooth their weather input, which hides heat spikes and rain-versus-snow flips. Both can melt a lot of ice in a few days.
The team built a daily version of a global glacier model and ran it worldwide. It matched observed glacier balance better and traced runoff in finer detail. It also projected more loss: up to a quarter more in Svalbard. Global losses by 2100 ran higher than the monthly version under both low and high emission paths. That extra melt adds twenty to thirty-three millimeters of sea-level rise.
Catalog record
| CREATOR | Lander Van Tricht, Matthias Huss, Harry Zekollari, Rodrigo Aguayo, Janosch Beer, Marit van Tiel, Alexandra von der Esch, Daniel Farinotti |
|---|---|
| YEAR | 2026 |
| COLLECTION | PAPERS |
| FORMAT | TXT |
| FILE SIZE | 55 KB |
| VERSION | 1.0 |
| LICENSE | CC BY 4.0 |
| RIGHTS | CC BY |
| SOURCE | Europe PMC |