Modeling resource conflict and inequality in fragile systems: A spatial agent-based framework with a Uganda case study
Ronald Katende · 2026
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Description
Where resources are scarce and the climate is stressed, fights over land and water can harden into long conflict. Ronald Katende models that dynamic alone in 2026, building a spatial agent-based framework and trying it on Uganda.
In the model, hundreds of agents move over a grid seeded with real population and rainfall data. Agents differ in resource access and can adapt or cooperate, while institutions can offer support. In the baseline runs, inequality climbed steeply and cooperation fell, while conflict pressure leveled off after an early spike. Stronger institutional support raised cooperation and resources and cut inequality. The author stresses the tool is for exploring mechanisms, not forecasting real events.
Catalog record
| CREATOR | Ronald Katende |
|---|---|
| YEAR | 2026 |
| COLLECTION | PAPERS |
| FORMAT | TXT |
| FILE SIZE | 35 KB |
| VERSION | 1.0 |
| LICENSE | CC BY 4.0 |
| RIGHTS | CC BY |
| SOURCE | Europe PMC |