Epidemiological transitions of Visceral Leishmaniasis in G20 countries: A 33-year retrospective joinpoint and demographic decomposition analysis with 20-year ARIMA projections
Yongbin Wang, Renfang Zhang, Zhenzhou Liu, Chunjie Xu, Fei Lin · 2026
Read Epidemiological transitions of Visceral Leishmaniasis in G20 countries: A 33-year retrospective joinpoint and demographic decomposition analysis with 20-year ARIMA projections by Yongbin Wang, Renfang Zhang, Zhenzhou Liu, Chunjie Xu, Fei Lin (2026) in the Tower of Babel, a free online library of public-domain works preserved in clean, searchable text. No sign-up. The full text is served as a plain-text file at a predictable URL, where text is present: https://antarctic-labs.com/tower-of-babel/pmc-13580953.txt.
Description
Yongbin Wang and co-authors trace visceral leishmaniasis trends across G20 nations in a 2026 study. The disease, a fatal neglected tropical illness, touches endemic and non endemic members alike, yet joint multi country trend work was scarce. Data on cases, deaths, and lost healthy years came from a global burden database spanning 1990 to 2023.
Trend break analysis found turning points, decomposition split change into population growth, aging, and true rate change, and time series models projected two decades ahead. Standardized rates for cases, deaths, and burden all fell steeply across the bloc. Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and India fell fastest, while Brazil improved least and kept the highest load.
Catalog record
| CREATOR | Yongbin Wang, Renfang Zhang, Zhenzhou Liu, Chunjie Xu, Fei Lin |
|---|---|
| YEAR | 2026 |
| COLLECTION | PAPERS |
| FORMAT | TXT |
| FILE SIZE | 55 KB |
| VERSION | 1.0 |
| LICENSE | CC BY 4.0 |
| RIGHTS | CC BY |
| SOURCE | Europe PMC |