Impact of Climate Warming on All‐Causes Mortality in China: The Role of Non‐Optimal Temperature Exposure and Multi‐Scenario Projections to 2050
Yujun He, Conglin Song, Dejun Chen, Yuan He, Xiaojun Li, Xuequan Wang, Zhaoyang Liu, Tao‐Hsin Tung · 2026
Read Impact of Climate Warming on All‐Causes Mortality in China: The Role of Non‐Optimal Temperature Exposure and Multi‐Scenario Projections to 2050 by Yujun He, Conglin Song, Dejun Chen, Yuan He, Xiaojun Li, Xuequan Wang, Zhaoyang Liu, Tao‐Hsin Tung (2026) in the Tower of Babel, a free online library of public-domain works preserved in clean, searchable text. No sign-up. The full text is served as a plain-text file at a predictable URL, where text is present: https://antarctic-labs.com/tower-of-babel/pmc-13564109.txt.
Description
Yujun He and co-authors track how temperatures outside the comfort zone have shaped deaths across China from 1990 to 2023, then project the toll to 2050. Both heat and cold kill, and warming shifts the balance. The team merged weather grids, climate models under two emission paths, and national disease-burden data.
Deaths tied to bad temperatures rose in raw count, even as the age-adjusted rate fell. Cold remained the bigger killer, but heat's share grew fast. People over eighty and those with heart, vessel, or lung disease were hit hardest. The two future paths diverged by disease, with some risks climbing under the hotter scenario. The authors call for prevention plans tuned by age, disease, and the path emissions actually take.
Catalog record
| CREATOR | Yujun He, Conglin Song, Dejun Chen, Yuan He, Xiaojun Li, Xuequan Wang, Zhaoyang Liu, Tao‐Hsin Tung |
|---|---|
| YEAR | 2026 |
| COLLECTION | PAPERS |
| FORMAT | TXT |
| FILE SIZE | 94 KB |
| VERSION | 1.0 |
| LICENSE | CC BY 4.0 |
| RIGHTS | CC BY |
| SOURCE | Europe PMC |