Spatiotemporal dynamics of population change in flood risk zones of the Pearl River Delta (1985–2024)

Jiangbo Wang, Jiafeng Wu · 2026

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Description

Jiangbo Wang and Jiafeng Wu published a 2026 study of how population has shifted inside flood-prone parts of China's Pearl River Delta from 1985 to 2024. Most earlier work looked only at the 100-year flood, the event with a one percent yearly chance. The authors mapped six flood levels, from frequent 10-year events to a rare 1,000-year event, and matched them to population data and flood control upgrades.

Outside the mildest scenario, population grew fastest in the extreme high-risk zone, and growth inside risk zones outpaced the region as a whole. Eight cities besides Shenzhen showed the same pattern in high-risk areas. The authors argue that prevention planning should differ by city and flood level rather than treating the delta as uniform.

Catalog record

CREATORJiangbo Wang, Jiafeng Wu
YEAR2026
COLLECTIONPAPERS
FORMATTXT
FILE SIZE58224
LICENSEhttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0
RIGHTSCC BY
SOURCEEurope PMC

Source: https://europepmc.org/article/MED/PMC13550639

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