Climatic and Hydrological Changes Drive Contemporary Fire Regime Transitions in the World's Largest Wetland
Lucas Barros‐Rosa, Pierre Girard, Priscila Lemes de Azevedo Silva, Fabio de Oliveira Roque, Mark Johnson, Christine Strüssmann, Thadeu Sobral de Souza, Renata Libonati, Liana O Anderson, Cátia Nunes da Cunha, Geraldo Alves Damasceno‐Júnior, Walfrido Moraes Tomas, Lúcia Mateus, Fernando A da Costa Fe · 2026
Read Climatic and Hydrological Changes Drive Contemporary Fire Regime Transitions in the World's Largest Wetland by Lucas Barros‐Rosa, Pierre Girard, Priscila Lemes de Azevedo Silva, Fabio de Oliveira Roque, Mark Johnson, Christine Strüssmann, Thadeu Sobral de Souza, Renata Libonati, Liana O Anderson, Cátia Nunes da Cunha, Geraldo Alves Damasceno‐Júnior, Walfrido Moraes Tomas, Lúcia Mateus, Fernando A da Costa Fe (2026) in the Tower of Babel, a free online library of public-domain works preserved in clean, searchable text. No sign-up. The full text is served as a plain-text file at a predictable URL, where text is present: https://antarctic-labs.com/tower-of-babel/pmc-13545500.txt.
Description
The authors study how fire in the Pantanal, the world's largest wetland, has changed over four decades. Wetlands of this kind once resisted fire well, but shifts in climate and water flow are weakening that protection. The team asks how burned area, mean fire size, and the timing of the fire season changed from 1985 to 2024. They also ask which forces drive the change.
Using trend tests and statistical models, the authors link fire patterns to rainfall, flood pulses, and dryness of the air and fuel. Total burned area shows no steady trend across the whole period, but a clear upward turn begins in 2014. Mean fire size grows across the full record and rises faster after 2018. Less rain, shorter floods, and drier fuel stand out as the strongest drivers, and the fire season now lasts longer, above all in the north and center of the wetland.
Catalog record
| CREATOR | Lucas Barros‐Rosa, Pierre Girard, Priscila Lemes de Azevedo Silva, Fabio de Oliveira Roque, Mark Johnson, Christine Strüssmann, Thadeu Sobral de Souza, Renata Libonati, Liana O Anderson, Cátia Nunes da Cunha, Geraldo Alves Damasceno‐Júnior, Walfrido Moraes Tomas, Lúcia Mateus, Fernando A da Costa Fe |
|---|---|
| YEAR | 2026 |
| COLLECTION | PAPERS |
| FORMAT | TXT |
| FILE SIZE | 76 KB |
| VERSION | 1.0 |
| LICENSE | CC BY 4.0 |
| RIGHTS | CC BY |
| SOURCE | Europe PMC |