Climate-based forecasting from national Culex mosquito surveillance to support West Nile and Usutu virus preparedness in England and Wales
Joanna Nevison de Klerk, Amirah Haziqah-Rashid, Emma Widlake, Roksana Wilson, Jack Pilgrim, Alexander G. C. Vaux, Jolanta Tanianis-Hughes, Agata Delnicka, Amy S. Jealous, Anthony J. Abbott, Catie Haines, Colin J. Johnston, Finn Miller, Ken Sherlock, Fatma Bursali, Sara Gandy, Sarah M. Biddlecombe, Jolyon M. Medlock, Marcus S. C. Blagrove, Matthew Baylis, Luigi Sedda · 2026
Read Climate-based forecasting from national Culex mosquito surveillance to support West Nile and Usutu virus preparedness in England and Wales by Joanna Nevison de Klerk, Amirah Haziqah-Rashid, Emma Widlake, Roksana Wilson, Jack Pilgrim, Alexander G. C. Vaux, Jolanta Tanianis-Hughes, Agata Delnicka, Amy S. Jealous, Anthony J. Abbott, Catie Haines, Colin J. Johnston, Finn Miller, Ken Sherlock, Fatma Bursali, Sara Gandy, Sarah M. Biddlecombe, Jolyon M. Medlock, Marcus S. C. Blagrove, Matthew Baylis, Luigi Sedda (2026) in the Tower of Babel, a free online library of public-domain works preserved in clean, searchable text. No sign-up. The full text is served as a plain-text file at a predictable URL, where text is present: https://antarctic-labs.com/tower-of-babel/PMC13543362.txt.
Description
Joanna Nevison de Klerk and colleagues published a 2026 modelling study mapping Culex mosquitoes across England and Wales to prepare for possible West Nile and Usutu virus arrival. Culex pipiens, widespread in Britain, can transmit both viruses, which are spreading northward in Europe. The team built distribution models from the first nationwide structured mosquito surveillance programme, run in 2023 with extra sampling in 2024, separating the pipiens and molestus forms plus Culex torrentium.
One form, pipiens, was predicted far more abundant than the others, concentrated across most of England except the northwest, peaking in eastern and estuary areas. High ground, including most of Wales, held far fewer. Rainfall drove pipiens numbers, while temperature mattered more for molestus, so the forms must be modelled separately. The maps tell surveillance teams where to look first and give planners a base for targeted mosquito control.
Catalog record
| CREATOR | Joanna Nevison de Klerk, Amirah Haziqah-Rashid, Emma Widlake, Roksana Wilson, Jack Pilgrim, Alexander G. C. Vaux, Jolanta Tanianis-Hughes, Agata Delnicka, Amy S. Jealous, Anthony J. Abbott, Catie Haines, Colin J. Johnston, Finn Miller, Ken Sherlock, Fatma Bursali, Sara Gandy, Sarah M. Biddlecombe, Jolyon M. Medlock, Marcus S. C. Blagrove, Matthew Baylis, Luigi Sedda |
|---|---|
| YEAR | 2026 |
| COLLECTION | PAPERS |
| FORMAT | TXT |
| FILE SIZE | 45576 |
| LICENSE | https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 |
| RIGHTS | CC BY |
| SOURCE | Europe PMC |