Regional dynamics drive differences in future heat stress and reveal where Hawaiian corals are most likely to persist

Kate Feloy, Brian Powell, Tobias Friedrich, Hannah Barkley · 2026

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Description

Kate Feloy, Brian Powell, Tobias Friedrich, and Hannah Barkley model future heat stress on Hawaiian corals. Their study from twenty twenty-six deals with regional ocean dynamics. The islands stir Pacific flows and create local variety.

Global climate models miss that fine local detail. A downscaled model resolved daily states at fine scale. Three emission paths ran to the end of the century. The big island faces the greatest heat stress ahead. Yet adaptation could let corals persist in all paths. Local forecasts guide reef management choices. Three paths span varied emission futures.

Catalog record

CREATORKate Feloy, Brian Powell, Tobias Friedrich, Hannah Barkley
YEAR2026
COLLECTIONPAPERS
FORMATTXT
FILE SIZE42 KB
VERSION1.0
LICENSECC BY 4.0
RIGHTSCC BY
SOURCEEurope PMC

Source: https://europepmc.org/articles/PMC13381747

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