A Cost-Sensitive Behavioral Modeling Analysis of the Early Identification and Control of Infectious Diseases

Mohammad Sharif Ullah, Xiunan Wang, Jin Wang · 2026

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Description

Mohammad Sharif Ullah presents a 2026 modeling study on how human choices shape the early control of an outbreak. People weigh the cost and risk of shots, testing, and care, while health agencies adjust testing as cases rise. The model joins those choices to disease spread in one shared population.

Math results and computer runs show that cheaper shots and tests widen the zone where disease dies out on its own. False negative tests weaken the value of more testing by delaying care and letting spread continue. Treatment cuts spread most when paired with fast testing. The author uses the results to argue for low-cost, prompt programs at the start of an outbreak.

Catalog record

CREATORMohammad Sharif Ullah, Xiunan Wang, Jin Wang
YEAR2026
COLLECTIONPAPERS
FORMATTXT
FILE SIZE194395
LICENSEhttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0
RIGHTSCC BY
SOURCEEurope PMC

Source: https://europepmc.org/article/MED/PMC13309453

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