Development and Validation of a Nomogram for Mortality Prediction in Septic Patients with Prolonged or Chronic Critical Illness
Mikhail Ya. Yadgarov, Olga Yu. Rebrova, Levan B. Berikashvili, Petr A. Polyakov, Kristina K. Kadantseva, Alexey A. Yakovlev, Andrey V. Grechko, Valery V. Likhvantsev · 2026
Read Development and Validation of a Nomogram for Mortality Prediction in Septic Patients with Prolonged or Chronic Critical Illness by Mikhail Ya. Yadgarov, Olga Yu. Rebrova, Levan B. Berikashvili, Petr A. Polyakov, Kristina K. Kadantseva, Alexey A. Yakovlev, Andrey V. Grechko, Valery V. Likhvantsev (2026) in the Tower of Babel, a free online library of public-domain works preserved in clean, searchable text. No sign-up. The full text is served as a plain-text file at a predictable URL, where text is present: https://antarctic-labs.com/tower-of-babel/pmc-13298199.txt.
Description
Mikhail Ya. Yadgarov and colleagues build a mortality prediction tool for septic patients with prolonged or chronic critical illness, in a 2026 study using a Russian intensive care dataset. Such patients endure long unit stays, persistent organ problems, and repeated sepsis. Existing sepsis tools were not designed for this group.
Analysis covered 336 patients, split into training and testing sets. Four factors predicted death: age, organ failure score at sepsis onset, type 2 diabetes, and time until sepsis began. The nomogram performed best for short-horizon prediction and weakened at later time points. Prospective testing across several centres is required before clinical use, the authors state.
Catalog record
| CREATOR | Mikhail Ya. Yadgarov, Olga Yu. Rebrova, Levan B. Berikashvili, Petr A. Polyakov, Kristina K. Kadantseva, Alexey A. Yakovlev, Andrey V. Grechko, Valery V. Likhvantsev |
|---|---|
| YEAR | 2026 |
| COLLECTION | PAPERS |
| FORMAT | TXT |
| FILE SIZE | 31 KB |
| VERSION | 1.0 |
| LICENSE | CC BY 4.0 |
| RIGHTS | CC BY |
| SOURCE | Europe PMC |