The Impact of Climate Change on the Spatial Distribution of Seven Meconopsis Species in China: A MaxEnt Model‐Based Predictive Analysis

Yuanzhao Yang, Jiao Ma, Xinyu Chen, Lu Zhang, Pei Tu, Yuanzhi Pan · 2026

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Description

Yuanzhao Yang and colleagues present a 2026 journal article forecasting how climate change will shift the ranges of seven Meconopsis poppy species in China. These mountain flowers are prized and climate sensitive. Using an optimized MaxEnt model, software that maps suitable habitat from known locations and climate data, the team projected current and future ranges under several warming scenarios.

All seven species concentrate in southwestern China, with suitable habitat covering just 1.3 to 10.1 percent of the country's land. Day-night temperature stability, seasonal temperature swing, and elevation mattered most. One species, M. lyrata, is expected to lose suitable habitat, while the others show mixed gains and losses. The authors urge botanical institutions to prioritize growing these species outside the wild to safeguard their genes.

Catalog record

CREATORYuanzhao Yang, Jiao Ma, Xinyu Chen, Lu Zhang, Pei Tu, Yuanzhi Pan
YEAR2026
COLLECTIONPAPERS
FORMATTXT
FILE SIZE32526
LICENSEhttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0
RIGHTSCC BY
SOURCEEurope PMC

Source: https://europepmc.org/article/MED/PMC13275543

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