Virulence Evolution in Host Populations with Heterogeneous Immune Responses: The Weakening of the Uncommon Weak

Carles Barril, Marina Vegué · 2026

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Description

Barril and Vegué model how a mixed population of hosts steers pathogen nastiness, in a 2026 mathematical biology paper. Their model links two scales: how germs multiply inside one body, and how infection spreads through a population. Hosts differ in immune strength, and that difference turns out to decide which level of virulence evolution favors.

When hosts reliably clear infections fast, germs evolve to be more virulent. When hosts are doomed once infected, gentler germs win instead. Mixing the two host types, with a share of vulnerable individuals, produced richer behavior between those extremes. The authors use the results to argue that immune diversity in a population is itself an evolutionary force.

Catalog record

CREATORCarles Barril, Marina Vegué
YEAR2026
COLLECTIONPAPERS
FORMATTXT
FILE SIZE139 KB
VERSION1.0
LICENSECC BY 4.0
RIGHTSCC BY
SOURCEEurope PMC

Source: https://europepmc.org/articles/PMC13249619

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