Nothing new under the sun: The NIST primer on “Probability and Likelihood Ratios” gives a misleading negative portrayal of the likelihood-ratio framework

Geoffrey Stewart Morrison · 2026

Read Nothing new under the sun: The NIST primer on “Probability and Likelihood Ratios” gives a misleading negative portrayal of the likelihood-ratio framework by Geoffrey Stewart Morrison (2026) in the Tower of Babel, a free online library of public-domain works preserved in clean, searchable text. No sign-up. The full text is served as a plain-text file at a predictable URL, where text is present: https://antarctic-labs.com/tower-of-babel/pmc-13156757.txt.

Description

Geoffrey Stewart Morrison wrote a 2026 perspectives paper disputing a United States standards guide on forensic evidence. In March 2025 the National Institute of Standards and Technology issued primers to give judges and lawyers a neutral grounding in forensic science. Morrison argues the primer on probability and likelihood ratios paints the likelihood-ratio framework in a wrongly negative light. He refutes that portrayal point by point.

Catalog record

CREATORGeoffrey Stewart Morrison
YEAR2026
COLLECTIONPAPERS
FORMATTXT
FILE SIZE69 KB
VERSION1.0
LICENSECC BY 4.0
RIGHTSCC BY
SOURCEEurope PMC

Source: https://europepmc.org/articles/PMC13156757

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