Spatio-temporal trends, distribution and prediction of tuberculosis incidence in Uganda (2020–2025)
Augustus Aturinde, Geofrey Amanya, Robinah Ikwangu · 2025
Read Spatio-temporal trends, distribution and prediction of tuberculosis incidence in Uganda (2020–2025) by Augustus Aturinde, Geofrey Amanya, Robinah Ikwangu (2025) in the Tower of Babel, a free online library of public-domain works preserved in clean, searchable text. No sign-up. The full text is served as a plain-text file at a predictable URL, where text is present: https://antarctic-labs.com/tower-of-babel/pmc-12849235.txt.
Description
Augustus Aturinde, Geofrey Amanya, and Robinah Ikwangu map tuberculosis patterns across Uganda from 2020 to early 2025, in a 2025 study. The country aims at steep cuts in TB deaths and cases by 2030, and district-level data can show where effort is most needed. The team analyse national programme records with trend, clustering, and forecasting methods.
Reported cases rose sharply, from under thirty thousand in 2020 to nearly seventy-three thousand in 2024, and rates per head more than doubled. Clusters persisted in the northeast, in districts near Lake Victoria, and in newer hotspots around the oil-rich Lake Albert region. Eastern and southwestern districts stayed consistently low. Forecasts point to continued high burden in the same areas. The authors offer the maps as a guide for targeted action, surveillance, and planning on the path to the national targets.
Catalog record
| CREATOR | Augustus Aturinde, Geofrey Amanya, Robinah Ikwangu |
|---|---|
| YEAR | 2025 |
| COLLECTION | PAPERS |
| FORMAT | TXT |
| FILE SIZE | 33 KB |
| VERSION | 1.0 |
| LICENSE | CC BY 4.0 |
| RIGHTS | CC BY |
| SOURCE | Europe PMC |