Long-term perceptual priors drive confidence bias that favors prior-congruent evidence
Marika Constant, Elisa Filevich, Pascal Mamassian, Wolfgang Einhäuser, Wolfgang Einhäuser, Wolfgang Einhäuser, Wolfgang Einhäuser · 2025
Read Long-term perceptual priors drive confidence bias that favors prior-congruent evidence by Marika Constant, Elisa Filevich, Pascal Mamassian, Wolfgang Einhäuser, Wolfgang Einhäuser, Wolfgang Einhäuser, Wolfgang Einhäuser (2025) in the Tower of Babel, a free online library of public-domain works preserved in clean, searchable text. No sign-up. The full text is served as a plain-text file at a predictable URL, where text is present: https://antarctic-labs.com/tower-of-babel/pmc-12753060.txt.
Description
Marika Constant, Elisa Filevich, and Pascal Mamassian study how long-term perceptual habits bias confidence in a 2025 paper. In the Bayesian picture, decisions and confidence both blend prior expectations with incoming sensory evidence. Earlier work found priors sway confidence more strongly than decisions, but those priors were short-term and task-induced.
The authors test priors built over the long term instead. They find confidence favors evidence that agrees with the prior, a bias with real consequences wherever people report certainty. Understanding the bias helps interpret eyewitness confidence and clinical self-reports more cautiously.
Catalog record
| CREATOR | Marika Constant, Elisa Filevich, Pascal Mamassian, Wolfgang Einhäuser, Wolfgang Einhäuser, Wolfgang Einhäuser, Wolfgang Einhäuser |
|---|---|
| YEAR | 2025 |
| COLLECTION | PAPERS |
| FORMAT | TXT |
| FILE SIZE | 138 KB |
| VERSION | 1.0 |
| LICENSE | CC BY 4.0 |
| RIGHTS | CC BY |
| SOURCE | Europe PMC |