Blaming luck, claiming skill: Self-attribution bias in error assignment
Naoyuki Okamoto, Michael Taylor, Takatomi Kubo, Shin Ishii, Benedetto De Martino, Aurelio Cortese, Zhaolei Zhang, Zhaolei Zhang, Zhaolei Zhang, Zhaolei Zhang · 2025
Read Blaming luck, claiming skill: Self-attribution bias in error assignment by Naoyuki Okamoto, Michael Taylor, Takatomi Kubo, Shin Ishii, Benedetto De Martino, Aurelio Cortese, Zhaolei Zhang, Zhaolei Zhang, Zhaolei Zhang, Zhaolei Zhang (2025) in the Tower of Babel, a free online library of public-domain works preserved in clean, searchable text. No sign-up. The full text is served as a plain-text file at a predictable URL, where text is present: https://antarctic-labs.com/tower-of-babel/pmc-12753049.txt.
Description
Naoyuki Okamoto and co-authors test why people claim skill for wins but blame luck for losses when pay is unsure. Their study appeared in twenty twenty-five. A hand-move task let pay hinge on skill in some rounds and on chance in others. That split let the team watch how each result was judged.
Players gave wins to their own skill and losses to chance, and that slant shaped their next choices. Model work split the slant into two parts: a warped view of own skill and a rose view in skill rounds. Warped self-view drove acts but not trust. Blame sent outwards, not self-view, fed excess trust. The authors stress tight task design plus models to pull such slants apart.
Catalog record
| CREATOR | Naoyuki Okamoto, Michael Taylor, Takatomi Kubo, Shin Ishii, Benedetto De Martino, Aurelio Cortese, Zhaolei Zhang, Zhaolei Zhang, Zhaolei Zhang, Zhaolei Zhang |
|---|---|
| YEAR | 2025 |
| COLLECTION | PAPERS |
| FORMAT | TXT |
| FILE SIZE | 120 KB |
| VERSION | 1.0 |
| LICENSE | CC BY 4.0 |
| RIGHTS | CC BY |
| SOURCE | Europe PMC |