An expanded STIRPAT model analysis of China’s carbon neutrality pathways
Sidney Mangenda Tshiaba, Gaoke Liao · 2025
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Description
Tshiaba and Liao studied China's paths to carbon neutrality, in a paper published in 2025. Nations have pledged to cut carbon output, and China is the largest emitter. The authors used a model that links emissions to population, wealth, and technology, then extended it with money and policy factors. They asked how renewable energy, green invention, and green taxes shape emissions. Their data cover 30 Chinese provinces from 2007 to 2021.
Renewable energy cut emissions only where its use was already high. In less developed provinces, renewables added to coal use rather than replacing it. That pattern suggests a threshold effect. Green invention and taxes also played roles that varied by place. The authors draw lessons for provinces at different stages. Pushing renewables past the threshold, they argue, is what turns them into a coal substitute.
Catalog record
| CREATOR | Sidney Mangenda Tshiaba, Gaoke Liao |
|---|---|
| YEAR | 2025 |
| COLLECTION | PAPERS |
| FORMAT | TXT |
| FILE SIZE | 58 KB |
| VERSION | 1.0 |
| LICENSE | CC BY 4.0 |
| RIGHTS | CC BY |
| SOURCE | Europe PMC |