Super El Niño events drive climate regime shifts with enhanced risks under global warming

Aoyun Xue, Xin Geng, Fei-Fei Jin, Yechul Shin, Mi-Kyung Sung, Jong-Seong Kug · 2025

Read Super El Niño events drive climate regime shifts with enhanced risks under global warming by Aoyun Xue, Xin Geng, Fei-Fei Jin, Yechul Shin, Mi-Kyung Sung, Jong-Seong Kug (2025) in the Tower of Babel, a free online library of public-domain works preserved in clean, searchable text. No sign-up. The full text is served as a plain-text file at a predictable URL, where text is present: https://antarctic-labs.com/tower-of-babel/pmc-12717066.txt.

Description

Aoyun Xue and co-authors link the strongest El Nino events to abrupt climate shifts in a 2025 study. Climate regime shifts are sudden, lasting jumps between stable states, and they threaten ecosystems and human well-being. Such shifts seem to grow more frequent as the world warms, so their drivers matter.

Using observations and model simulations, the team found that shift risk rises significantly around super El Nino events. The huge climate disturbance of these events can push systems past tipping points. The findings add a warning: extreme El Nino years may leave permanent marks on regional climates.

Catalog record

CREATORAoyun Xue, Xin Geng, Fei-Fei Jin, Yechul Shin, Mi-Kyung Sung, Jong-Seong Kug
YEAR2025
COLLECTIONPAPERS
FORMATTXT
FILE SIZE48 KB
VERSION1.0
LICENSECC BY 4.0
RIGHTSCC BY
SOURCEEurope PMC

Source: https://europepmc.org/articles/PMC12717066

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