Higher predicted climate-change vulnerability for spring-dwelling freshwater biota
Mathias Kuemmerlen, Wolfram Graf, Johann Waringer, Simon Vitecek, Mladen Kučinić, Ana Previšić, Lujza Keresztes, Miklós Bálint, Steffen U. Pauls · 2025
Read Higher predicted climate-change vulnerability for spring-dwelling freshwater biota by Mathias Kuemmerlen, Wolfram Graf, Johann Waringer, Simon Vitecek, Mladen Kučinić, Ana Previšić, Lujza Keresztes, Miklós Bálint, Steffen U. Pauls (2025) in the Tower of Babel, a free online library of public-domain works preserved in clean, searchable text. No sign-up. The full text is served as a plain-text file at a predictable URL, where text is present: https://antarctic-labs.com/tower-of-babel/pmc-12712645.txt.
Description
Mathias Kuemmerlen and co-authors forecast climate risk for caddisflies that live in springs in two thousand twenty-five. Freshwater life faces shifting heat and rain, but species-level data are often too thin to judge risk. One caddisfly family's traits, family trees, and ranges are well known, which makes it a good test case.
Range models were built for forty-seven species and run under four future climate paths with five climate models. Spread was capped at five hundred kilometers by two thousand eighty. Forecast range change ran from total loss to near doubling, with five species facing wipeout. Where a species sits along a stream proved the best risk signal, better than feeding style or rarity.
Catalog record
| CREATOR | Mathias Kuemmerlen, Wolfram Graf, Johann Waringer, Simon Vitecek, Mladen Kučinić, Ana Previšić, Lujza Keresztes, Miklós Bálint, Steffen U. Pauls |
|---|---|
| YEAR | 2025 |
| COLLECTION | PAPERS |
| FORMAT | TXT |
| FILE SIZE | 52 KB |
| VERSION | 1.0 |
| LICENSE | CC BY 4.0 |
| RIGHTS | CC BY |
| SOURCE | Europe PMC |