Epidemiological characteristics and prediction model construction of hand, foot and mouth disease in Quzhou City, China, 2005–2023
Wenjie Xu, Canjie Zheng, Canya Fu, Xiaoying Gong, Quanjun Fang, Zhiying Yin · 2024
Read Epidemiological characteristics and prediction model construction of hand, foot and mouth disease in Quzhou City, China, 2005–2023 by Wenjie Xu, Canjie Zheng, Canya Fu, Xiaoying Gong, Quanjun Fang, Zhiying Yin (2024) in the Tower of Babel, a free online library of public-domain works preserved in clean, searchable text. No sign-up. The full text is served as a plain-text file at a predictable URL, where text is present: https://antarctic-labs.com/tower-of-babel/pmc-11688476.txt.
Description
Wenjie Xu and co-authors report an epidemiology study, printed in 2024, charting hand, foot and mouth disease in a Chinese city across nearly two decades. The childhood illness surges seasonally and can strain clinics, so forecasting matters. The team mapped cases in Quzhou from 2005 onward and built two time series forecasting models to compare.
Tens of thousands of cases accumulated over the study years, with boys affected more than girls and two peaks each year, one in late spring and one in autumn. Yearly totals swung widely, peaking in 2016. The authors weigh the seasonal model against a modern forecasting library using standard error measures. Their aim is an early warning tool local health officials can trust.
Catalog record
| CREATOR | Wenjie Xu, Canjie Zheng, Canya Fu, Xiaoying Gong, Quanjun Fang, Zhiying Yin |
|---|---|
| YEAR | 2024 |
| COLLECTION | PAPERS |
| FORMAT | TXT |
| FILE SIZE | 29 KB |
| VERSION | 1.0 |
| LICENSE | CC BY 4.0 |
| RIGHTS | CC BY |
| SOURCE | Europe PMC |