Influence of the Enterovirus 71 Vaccine and the COVID-19 Pandemic on Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease in China Based on Counterfactual Models: Observational Study
Jia Nie, Tian Huang, Yuhong Sun, Zutong Peng, Wenlong Dong, Jiancheng Chen, Di Zheng, Fuyin Guo, Wenhui Shi, Yuewei Ling, Weijia Zhao, Haijun Yang, Tiejun Shui, Xiangyu Yan · 2024
Read Influence of the Enterovirus 71 Vaccine and the COVID-19 Pandemic on Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease in China Based on Counterfactual Models: Observational Study by Jia Nie, Tian Huang, Yuhong Sun, Zutong Peng, Wenlong Dong, Jiancheng Chen, Di Zheng, Fuyin Guo, Wenhui Shi, Yuewei Ling, Weijia Zhao, Haijun Yang, Tiejun Shui, Xiangyu Yan (2024) in the Tower of Babel, a free online library of public-domain works preserved in clean, searchable text. No sign-up. The full text is served as a plain-text file at a predictable URL, where text is present: https://antarctic-labs.com/tower-of-babel/pmc-11683655.txt.
Description
Jia Nie, Tian Huang, and their co-authors traced hand, foot, and mouth disease in China across decades, asking how a vaccine and the COVID pandemic bent its curve. Their 2024 study uses official surveillance data from Yunnan Province. The disease is highly contagious among children, and a vaccine against its main virus, enterovirus 71, rolled out during the study span.
The team mapped long term trends in cases and severity, plus shifts in which viruses caused them. A time series model forecast the monthly cases expected without the vaccine program and the pandemic. Comparing real counts with those forecasts gauges each event's impact. The aim is sharper surveillance and control planning for a disease that surges each year.
Catalog record
| CREATOR | Jia Nie, Tian Huang, Yuhong Sun, Zutong Peng, Wenlong Dong, Jiancheng Chen, Di Zheng, Fuyin Guo, Wenhui Shi, Yuewei Ling, Weijia Zhao, Haijun Yang, Tiejun Shui, Xiangyu Yan |
|---|---|
| YEAR | 2024 |
| COLLECTION | PAPERS |
| FORMAT | TXT |
| FILE SIZE | 26 KB |
| VERSION | 1.0 |
| LICENSE | CC BY 4.0 |
| RIGHTS | CC BY |
| SOURCE | Europe PMC |