Close-Up on Ambulance Service Estimation in Indonesia: Monte Carlo Simulation Study
Syaribah N Brice, Justin J Boutilier, Geraint Palmer, Paul R Harper, Vincent Knight, Mark Tuson, Daniel Gartner, Taiane de Azevedo Cardoso, Kwang Yul Jung, David Snowdon · 2024
Read Close-Up on Ambulance Service Estimation in Indonesia: Monte Carlo Simulation Study by Syaribah N Brice, Justin J Boutilier, Geraint Palmer, Paul R Harper, Vincent Knight, Mark Tuson, Daniel Gartner, Taiane de Azevedo Cardoso, Kwang Yul Jung, David Snowdon (2024) in the Tower of Babel, a free online library of public-domain works preserved in clean, searchable text. No sign-up. The full text is served as a plain-text file at a predictable URL, where text is present: https://antarctic-labs.com/tower-of-babel/pmc-11681287.txt.
Description
Syaribah Brice and nine co-authors estimated ambulance demand in Jakarta in a 2024 study. Good emergency care needs enough ambulances in the right places, but Indonesia publishes little data on how often people need them. The team had to build an estimate from fragments.
They combined survey answers, national statistics, and sample records from hospital emergency rooms. Four quantities had to be pinned down. They were area populations by day and night, yearly emergency visits per person, the timing of emergencies, and how many patients need an ambulance. Random simulation then produced an average need per area, checked against a simple direct calculation. The approach shows how cities with thin data systems can still plan emergency fleets with honest numbers.
Catalog record
| CREATOR | Syaribah N Brice, Justin J Boutilier, Geraint Palmer, Paul R Harper, Vincent Knight, Mark Tuson, Daniel Gartner, Taiane de Azevedo Cardoso, Kwang Yul Jung, David Snowdon |
|---|---|
| YEAR | 2024 |
| COLLECTION | PAPERS |
| FORMAT | TXT |
| FILE SIZE | 33 KB |
| VERSION | 1.0 |
| LICENSE | CC BY 4.0 |
| RIGHTS | CC BY |
| SOURCE | Europe PMC |