Clarifying causality and information flows between time series: Particulate air pollution, temperature, and elderly mortality
Louis Anthony Cox · 2024
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Description
Louis Anthony Cox asks whether the famed tie between fine particle pollution and elderly deaths survives honest control for weather and recent mortality. Past studies linked daily particle levels to death counts, yet few checked the temperatures of the weeks before each death. His data come from the Los Angeles air basin.
In this 2024 paper, lagged partial dependence plots rank what actually predicts today's deaths and today's particle levels. Daily low and high temperatures, plus death counts from two to three weeks back, stand out as strong independent predictors of both. Cox argues that any credible claim for particles must first control these lagged confounders over several weeks, a step influential past work skipped.
Catalog record
| CREATOR | Louis Anthony Cox |
|---|---|
| YEAR | 2024 |
| COLLECTION | PAPERS |
| FORMAT | TXT |
| FILE SIZE | 47 KB |
| VERSION | 1.0 |
| LICENSE | CC BY 4.0 |
| RIGHTS | CC BY |
| SOURCE | Europe PMC |