Stabilising CO2 concentration as a channel for global disaster risk mitigation
Saite Lu, Demosthenes Tambakis · 2024
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Description
Do swings in the air's carbon dioxide level change the odds of climate disasters? Saite Lu and Demosthenes Tambakis build a statistical model from yearly data on global disasters and carbon dioxide growth spanning nineteen sixty to twenty twenty-two. They also test how future disaster risk shifts under carbon paths that match the climate outcomes projected for twenty-one hundred.
The model finds that recent carbon growth, both current and lagged, carries real information about how likely disasters are in the near future. Smoothing the carbon path, by cutting either its swings or its persistence, lowers expected disaster risk by a large amount. The authors argue that steadying the carbon level is itself a channel for cutting disaster risk.
Catalog record
| CREATOR | Saite Lu, Demosthenes Tambakis |
|---|---|
| YEAR | 2024 |
| COLLECTION | PAPERS |
| FORMAT | TXT |
| FILE SIZE | 53 KB |
| VERSION | 1.0 |
| LICENSE | CC BY 4.0 |
| RIGHTS | CC BY |
| SOURCE | Europe PMC |