THE PREDICTIVE VALIDITY OF SUBJECTIVE SURVIVAL PROBABILITIES AMONG OLDER ADULTS WITH PAIN

Gillian Fennell · 2023

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Description

Gillian Fennell asks whether older adults with chronic pain judge their own remaining years accurately in a 2023 conference abstract. Pain affects a fifth of American adults and is tied to higher death risk and lower expected survival. Using a long running retirement study, the author compared the survival chances people aged from their late fifties to late eighties reported in 2000 with when they actually died.

Respondents were sorted into four groups: correctly or falsely optimistic or pessimistic. People with pain at baseline were significantly more likely to be correctly pessimistic: their low expectations matched reality. Those without pain spread across the other groups. The author suggests that pain and its limits give people information they use to gauge their lifespan. Whether such accuracy is partly a self fulfilling prophecy is left for future work.

Catalog record

CREATORGillian Fennell
YEAR2023
COLLECTIONPAPERS
FORMATTXT
FILE SIZE2 KB
VERSION1.0
LICENSECC BY 4.0
RIGHTSCC BY
SOURCEEurope PMC

Source: https://europepmc.org/articles/PMC10738898

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