Early-warning signals for infectious diseases with a social-media compartment
Francisca Olajide, Frithjof Lutscher, Stacey R Smith? · 2026
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Description
Francisca Olajide, Frithjof Lutscher, and Stacey R Smith? published this 2026 modeling study of early warning signals for emerging epidemics. Signals like rising variance can hint a disease is about to take off, but noise and delays weaken them. The authors built a model coupling infection spread with social media chatter, generated simulated outbreaks, and tested which signals warned earliest.
The compartment of reported infections proved most trustworthy, and variance beat autocorrelation when noise ran high. Signals inside the social media stream itself predicted poorly. Olajide offers the framework for sharpening outbreak preparedness.
Catalog record
| CREATOR | Francisca Olajide, Frithjof Lutscher, Stacey R Smith? |
|---|---|
| YEAR | 2026 |
| COLLECTION | PAPERS |
| FORMAT | TXT |
| FILE SIZE | 46237 |
| LICENSE | CC_BY |
| RIGHTS | CC BY |
| SOURCE | PLOS |