Understanding the value of a forecast using an online game
Niko Yiannakoulias, Catherine E Slavik · 2026
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Description
Niko Yiannakoulias and Catherine Slavik built an online farming game to learn how people value weather-style forecasts. Players planted crops on a grid to earn the most points, and they could pay in-game for forecasts that cut their uncertainty. The design let the researchers compare each player's choices with perfect play.
Players rarely played perfectly, but their choices generally raised their scores, and they paid roughly what forecasts were worth, sometimes a bit too much or too little. The group was small and similar in background, so broad claims are risky. Still, the game shows a cheap way to study decision-making that once needed costly custom software.
Catalog record
| CREATOR | Niko Yiannakoulias, Catherine E Slavik |
|---|---|
| YEAR | 2026 |
| COLLECTION | PAPERS |
| FORMAT | TXT |
| FILE SIZE | 46187 |
| LICENSE | CC_BY |
| RIGHTS | CC BY |
| SOURCE | PLOS |